November 5, 2011

CBD red zone with Warwick Isaacs, General Manager Demolitions. 4 November 2011. - YouTube

Tomorrow the CBD bus tours start.
For those of you who know the city - here is what you would see, or will see.
I have to keep replaying parts to figure out where I am, what I am seeing and what should have been there!!

Very sad for us all and incredibly hard to watch. I won't be doing a bus tour as I can't walk out if there is an earthquake and the buses can't drive out. It is still a dangerous area, and we still get enough aftershocks to leave risks for people working on the demolitions. Sorry, deconstructions.

One positive is how sunny and light town is with so many buildings gone - new views and perspectives have certainly changed the outer cordon so I can only imagine how this tour is going to "feel" to people on the buses.

The headlines this week tell us there could be a few more earthquakes ahead of us - http://www.stuff.co.nz/science/5913474/Rare-aftershock-cluster-a-possibility.
Canterbury could get stuck in a rare "cluster" of aftershocks, increasing the probability of quakes for decades, scientists say.

GNS Science natural hazards research manager Dr Kelvin Berryman said yesterday that aftershock probabilities had been revised to consider the possibility of Canterbury being at the start of a quake "cluster".

After most major earthquakes, the probability of aftershocks usually decays at a predictable rate, but in rare cases earthquakes can trigger fresh activity in nearby faults, setting off unpredictable clusters of aftershocks for decades.

Berryman stressed there was only a low probability Canterbury was in a "cluster", but the possibility had to be acknowledged when modelling the chances of future earthquakes.

Meanwhile, the sun is shining and it is Guy Fawkes - watch your pets please. Stressful night ahead for them.

Posted via email from Four Paws and Whiskers

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